Technology · Open for opinions
Will SpaceX Starship successfully complete Flight Test 14?
The Polymarket prediction market prices the success of SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 at approximately 39% probability, indicating… 42 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
The Polymarket prediction market prices the success of SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 at approximately 39% probability, indicating that the flight has not yet occurred and there is relevant uncertainty about the outcome.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a SpaceX confirmar oficialmente, via comunicado ou transmissão ao vivo no canal oficial, que o Starship completou todos os objetivos principais do Voo de Teste 14. Resolve 'Não' se houver falha em etapa crítica ou se o voo não ocorrer até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.