Technology · Open for opinions
Will U.S. federal regulators (CFTC or SEC) open a formal proceeding against Kalshi or Polymarket for suspicious trading linked to military or political events by February 28, 2027?
According to reports, more than 150 wallets on Polymarket allegedly operated based on insider information about U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to reports, more than 150 wallets on Polymarket allegedly operated based on insider information about U.S. military operations. American regulators are reportedly already seeking information from the platforms.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC ou SEC publicar formalmente uma ação de execução (enforcement action), intimação ou processo administrativo oficial contra Kalshi ou Polymarket relacionado a negociações suspeitas em eventos políticos ou militares até 28/02/2027, conforme comunicado oficial do regulador ou registro público. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.