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Will Polymarket obtain formal authorization to operate legally in the US by February 28, 2027?

Polymarket was banned from operating in the US by the CFTC in 2022. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Polymarket was banned from operating in the US by the CFTC in 2022. The Trump administration has shown openness to the sector, dropping previous investigations, but the platform still lacks formal authorization for the American market.

Source: futurism.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se a Polymarket publicar comunicado oficial confirmando licença ou autorização do CFTC para operar nos EUA, ou se o CFTC emitir declaração pública de aprovação, até 28/02/2027. Fonte primária: cftc.gov ou comunicado oficial da Polymarket.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will Polymarket obtain formal authorization to operate legally in… — 50% Yes · VoxFi