Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed US$ 50 billion in September 2026?
The market monitors whether the platforms will recover their July record level after the volume drop recorded in August. 15 opinions, 53% No
- Yes — 47%
- No — 53%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
The market monitors whether the platforms will recover their July record level after the volume drop recorded in August.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 05/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume mensal negociado somado entre Kalshi e Polymarket em setembro de 2026 superar US$ 50 bilhões, conforme dados de mercado divulgados por The Block, CoinDesk ou Bloomberg até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.