Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass specific legislation on taxation of prediction markets by February 2027?
With billions of dollars traded annually on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, there is growing tax uncertainty about how these… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 17, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
With billions of dollars traded annually on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, there is growing tax uncertainty about how these event contracts should be classified and taxed in the U.S., a topic debated by experts and lawmakers.
Source: bipartisanpolicy.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos Estados Unidos aprovar e o presidente sancionar legislação federal que estabeleça regras tributárias específicas para contratos de evento negociados em plataformas de mercados de previsão (como Kalshi e Polymarket) até 2027-02-17. Fonte: Congressional Record, site oficial do Congresso (congress.gov) ou publicação no Federal Register.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.