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Will the CFTC publish new restrictive rules on election contracts by 10/31/2026?

Following questions about electoral integrity and divergent court decisions, US regulators are debating the imposition of regulatory… 76 opinions, 61% No

  • Yes — 39%
  • No — 61%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

Following questions about electoral integrity and divergent court decisions, US regulators are debating the imposition of regulatory limits.

Source: www.ccn.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 05/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar formalmente em seu portal oficial (cftc.gov) ou no Federal Register novas regras ou diretrizes finais que restrinjam a negociação de contratos de eventos políticos nos EUA até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.

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Will the CFTC publish new restrictive rules on election contracts by… — 61% No · VoxFi