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Will Kalshi file an appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS) against the decision allowing states to regulate prediction markets as gambling?

On 08/28/2026, a federal appeals court panel denied Kalshi the right to resume operations in Nevada and ruled that states can… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

On 08/28/2026, a federal appeals court panel denied Kalshi the right to resume operations in Nevada and ruled that states can regulate prediction markets as gambling. The company signaled it will appeal.

Source: www.cnn.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Kalshi protocolar oficialmente um pedido de certiorari ao SCOTUS até a data de encerramento, conforme registros públicos do tribunal ou comunicado oficial da empresa. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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