World · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury yield exceed 5% by the end of November 2026?
Following the September inflation data (CPI 3.7%), the 2-year US Treasury yield rose 13 basis points to 4.92%, and the 10-year yield… 81 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: November 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Following the September inflation data (CPI 3.7%), the 2-year US Treasury yield rose 13 basis points to 4.92%, and the 10-year yield advanced toward 24-year highs. The IMF warned about rising borrowing costs for the US government.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento (yield) do T-Note de 10 anos atingir ou superar 5,00% em qualquer pregão até 28 de novembro de 2026, conforme dados publicados pelo U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov) ou pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.