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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 85% of GDP by March 2027?

Estadão reported that gross public debt reached 82.5% of GDP according to the Central Bank, with debate surrounding plans by Lula and… 72 opinions, 64% No

  • Yes — 36%
  • No — 64%

Deadline: March 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions

Resolution rules

Estadão reported that gross public debt reached 82.5% of GDP according to the Central Bank, with debate surrounding plans by Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro to contain indebtedness.

Source: www.estadao.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Banco Central do Brasil divulgar, até 31 de março de 2027, nota de política fiscal indicando que a Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (DBGG) atingiu ou superou 85% do PIB em qualquer mês de referência anterior. Fonte oficial: Nota para a Imprensa – Política Fiscal do Banco Central do Brasil.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.

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