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Will the average price of gasoline in the US exceed $4.00 per gallon by the end of 2026?

The Atlantic Council highlighted in October 2026 that gasoline and diesel prices are rising in the US, driven by the conflict with… 81 opinions, 56% Yes

  • Yes — 56%
  • No — 44%

Deadline: January 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

The Atlantic Council highlighted in October 2026 that gasoline and diesel prices are rising in the US, driven by the conflict with Iran and the expansion of data centers, making energy affordability a central issue in the midterm elections.

Source: www.atlanticcouncil.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a média nacional do preço da gasolina regular nos EUA, conforme dados semanais divulgados pela Agência de Informação de Energia dos EUA (EIA) ou pela AAA, superar US$ 4,00 por galão em qualquer semana até 31 de dezembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.

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Will the average price of gasoline in the US exceed $4.00 per gallon… — 56% Yes · VoxFi