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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the commercial dollar exceed R$ 5.60 in any trading session by the end of October 2026?

The commercial dollar was quoted at R$ 5.22 on 09/30/2026, with an upward trend driven by US Treasury yields, oil, and geopolitical… 74 opinions, 76% No

  • Yes — 24%
  • No — 76%

Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

The commercial dollar was quoted at R$ 5.22 on 09/30/2026, with an upward trend driven by US Treasury yields, oil, and geopolitical uncertainties involving the US and Iran.

Source: valor.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa de câmbio dólar/BRL (comercial, venda) atingir R$ 5,60 ou mais em qualquer sessão até 30/10/2026, conforme divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) ou Valor Data.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 76% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 24 points, a wrong one costs about 76.

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