Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Focus Bulletin median for Brazil's GDP in 2026 exceed 2.0% in October 2026?
After the Central Bank estimated a 1.8% expansion for 2026, analysts are recalculating the economic activity trajectory. 71 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
After the Central Bank estimated a 1.8% expansion for 2026, analysts are recalculating the economic activity trajectory.
Source: g1.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 26/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a mediana das expectativas de mercado para o crescimento do PIB de 2026, em qualquer edição do Relatório Focus publicada pelo Banco Central do Brasil até 31/10/2026, for igual ou superior a 2,01%. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.