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Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House of Representatives after the November 2026 midterm elections?

The midterm campaign season is entering its final stretch, with the Republican Party preparing for its convention in Dallas, TX,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The midterm campaign season is entering its final stretch, with the Republican Party preparing for its convention in Dallas, TX, amid headwinds such as persistent inflation and Trump's tariffs.

Source: thehill.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base nos resultados oficiais certificados pela Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA após as eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme divulgado pela Associated Press ou pelo Serviço de Notícias do Congresso. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se republicanos conquistarem 218 ou mais cadeiras.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House of Representatives… — 50% Yes · VoxFi