Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC open a formal investigation into suspicious trading on Polymarket by December 31, 2026?
Research by Professor Joshua Mitts (Columbia Law) and Moran Ofir identified more than 210,000 suspicious bets on Polymarket between… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Research by Professor Joshua Mitts (Columbia Law) and Moran Ofir identified more than 210,000 suspicious bets on Polymarket between February 2024 and February 2026, raising serious concerns about insider trading on prediction market platforms.
Source: www.law.columbia.edu
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Comunicado oficial da CFTC (cftc.gov) ou reportagem de veículo reconhecido (Reuters, Bloomberg ou AP) confirmando abertura de investigação formal pelo regulador sobre as mais de 210.000 apostas suspeitas identificadas no Polymarket.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.