Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi maintain a market share above 70% against Polymarket in October 2026?
In August 2026, Kalshi held 82% of the combined market share with Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate data (source [5]). 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 7, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, Kalshi held 82% of the combined market share with Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate data (source [5]). The prediction market sector has been growing rapidly in the US.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se os dados de market share mensais publicados pelo DeFi Rate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/polymarket/) indicarem que a Kalshi detém 70% ou mais do volume combinado Kalshi+Polymarket no mês de outubro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.