Technology · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will lead in cumulative trading volume in the fourth quarter of 2026?
Polymarket and Kalshi are competing for leadership in the US prediction market sector; Kalshi has been expanding its core… 35 opinions, 51% Polymarket
- Polymarket — 51%
- Kalshi — 40%
- Other platform — 9%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket and Kalshi are competing for leadership in the US prediction market sector; Kalshi has been expanding its core drivers beyond political events, according to OKX Ventures.
Source: www.covers.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Baseado em dados públicos de volume acumulado de outubro a dezembro de 2026 reportados pelas próprias plataformas ou por fonte especializada como Dune Analytics (para Polymarket) e relatórios do Kalshi. Vence a plataforma com maior volume total no período.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.