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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections?

The 2026 midterm elections are attracting record trading volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, with control of the House… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The 2026 midterm elections are attracting record trading volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, with control of the House being one of the most liquid markets of the election season.

Source: ca.finance.yahoo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Partido Republicano obtiver maioria de cadeiras na Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA após a apuração oficial das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme certificação pela Comissão Eleitoral Federal (FEC) ou declaração oficial do Clerk da Câmara.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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