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Technology · Open for opinions

Will China's high-tech manufacturing record year-on-year growth above 10% in the fourth quarter of 2026, according to official data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS)?

In August 2026, China's high-tech manufacturing grew by 16.7% year-on-year and equipment manufacturing advanced by 12.1%, outpacing… 37 opinions, 73% Yes

  • Yes — 73%
  • No — 27%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

In August 2026, China's high-tech manufacturing grew by 16.7% year-on-year and equipment manufacturing advanced by 12.1%, outpacing the country's overall industrial growth.

Source: www.observatoriodachina.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no relatório oficial do NBS (stats.gov.cn) relativo ao desempenho industrial de outubro–dezembro de 2026, publicado em janeiro/fevereiro de 2027. 'Sim' se o crescimento da manufatura de alta tecnologia for superior a 10% YoY; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.

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