Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA keep the El Niño status active in its ENSO report on 11/12/2026?
Evaluates whether NOAA will maintain the El Niño alert in the official climate bulletin scheduled for 11/12. 79 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Evaluates whether NOAA will maintain the El Niño alert in the official climate bulletin scheduled for 11/12.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a Administração Oceânica e Atmosférica Nacional dos EUA (NOAA/CPC) classificar formalmente a ocorrência de condições ativas de 'El Niño' (ou alerta equivalente) em sua atualização mensal 'ENSO Diagnostic Discussion' até 12/11/2026 (23:59, horário de Brasília), conforme relatório oficial publicado no site do Climate Prediction Center (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.