Finance · Open for opinions
Will the total number of registered and regulated prediction market platforms in the US exceed 20 by the end of 2026?
After Kalshi's court victory that allowed betting on elections, the number of prediction markets registered in the US reached 13. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
After Kalshi's court victory that allowed betting on elections, the number of prediction markets registered in the US reached 13. The sector is growing rapidly amid regulatory disputes and growing investor interest.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o CFTC ou outra fonte regulatória oficial dos EUA listar mais de 20 plataformas de mercados de previsão registradas e autorizadas a operar até 31 de dezembro de 2026. A contagem de referência é 13 plataformas registradas em agosto de 2026. Fonte: registro público do CFTC.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.