World · Open for opinions
Will the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note exceed 5.5% before the end of November 2026?
Following the September 2026 inflation report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.3%, pressured by expectations of a Fed rate hike… 79 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Following the September 2026 inflation report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.3%, pressured by expectations of a Fed rate hike and IMF warnings regarding the level of US debt.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o rendimento (yield) do US Treasury de 10 anos atingir ou superar 5,5% em qualquer pregão até 30 de novembro de 2026, conforme dados do Departamento do Tesouro americano (fiscaldata.treasury.gov) ou da plataforma Bloomberg.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.