World · Open for opinions
Will the Fed raise interest rates at the November 2026 FOMC meeting?
The Fed raised interest rates by 25 bps on September 16, 2026, and markets are pricing in another hike at the following meeting,… 50 opinions, 68% Yes
- Yes — 68%
- No — 32%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 50 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed raised interest rates by 25 bps on September 16, 2026, and markets are pricing in another hike at the following meeting, with Chairman Barkin indicating that a single hike may not be enough to control inflation aggravated by the Iran War.
Source: www.levyinstitute.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na decisão oficial anunciada pelo Federal Reserve ao término da reunião do FOMC de novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado publicado em federalreserve.gov. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se houver aumento de ao menos 25 pontos-base.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.