Finance · Open for opinions
How will the main legal battle between US states and prediction markets be resolved by January 31, 2027?
Lawsuits filed by 44 US state attorneys general against Kalshi and Polymarket were… 20 opinions, 25% States win: restrictions imposed in at least 5 states
- States win: restrictions imposed in at least 5 states — 25%
- Platforms win: lawsuits dismissed without restrictions — 25%
- Out-of-court settlement: platforms accept voluntary regulation — 25%
- Cases still ongoing without final decision — 25%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Lawsuits filed by 44 US state attorneys general against Kalshi and Polymarket were reported by the NYT on 08/27/2026, representing the largest legal offensive ever seen against the prediction market sector.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no status consolidado das ações judiciais até 31/01/2027, verificado por cobertura de veículos como Reuters, AP e comunicados oficiais das plataformas e procuradorias estaduais.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now States win: restrictions imposed in at least 5 states has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.