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Technology · Open for opinions

Will iPhone sales in China grow in the third quarter of 2026 (July-September) compared to the same period in 2025?

Snippet [0] indicates that the iPhone lost traction in China because Apple Intelligence was not available in the country. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Snippet [0] indicates that the iPhone lost traction in China because Apple Intelligence was not available in the country. The government approval obtained (snippet [5]) opens the way for a sales recovery, making this indicator relevant.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base nos dados de shipments de smartphone divulgados por Canalys, IDC ou Counterpoint Research referentes ao Q3 2026 na China. Resolvido como 'Sim' se o volume de iPhones enviados/vendidos na China no Q3 2026 for superior ao Q3 2025 segundo pelo menos uma das firmas citadas. Caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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