Politics · Open for opinions
Will the United States Congress approve a pay raise for its members by the end of 2026?
Kalshi lists an active market on a pay raise for the U.S. 23 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi lists an active market on a pay raise for the U.S. Congress, with a 54% probability of occurrence, moving over $811 in traded volume.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se legislação aumentando o salário dos membros do Congresso dos EUA for aprovada por ambas as câmaras e promulgada (assinada pelo presidente ou veto derrubado) até 31/12/2026, conforme registro oficial no Congress.gov ou anúncio do Escritório de Gestão e Orçamento (OMB).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.