World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate at least once before the end of 2026?
With US inflation at 4.2% in May 2026 (the highest in 3 years) and the Fed seeking a 'soft landing', the trajectory of interest rates… 68 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 68 opinions
Resolution rules
With US inflation at 4.2% in May 2026 (the highest in 3 years) and the Fed seeking a 'soft landing', the trajectory of interest rates is uncertain. Former Fed member Warsh stated that labor market damage is not necessary to restore price stability.
Source: www.zawya.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar redução da taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião até dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.