Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's 5-year CDS close below 100 basis points by 10/31/2026?
Brazil Risk dropped to 112 points in September 2026, renewing the current term's low and raising expectations of breaking the… 41 opinions, 66% No
- Yes — 34%
- No — 66%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 41 opinions
Resolution rules
Brazil Risk dropped to 112 points in September 2026, renewing the current term's low and raising expectations of breaking the 100-point barrier.
Source: www.poder360.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Credit Default Swap (CDS) de 5 anos do Brasil registrar fechamento diário abaixo de 100 pontos base até 31/10/2026, conforme dados oficiais de mercado divulgados por Bloomberg, Valor Econômico ou S&P Global. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.