Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass any federal legislation regulating prediction markets by March 2027?
The CEO of Kalshi has publicly stated that he wants 'more guardrails' for the industry. 68 opinions, 90% No
- Yes — 10%
- No — 90%
Deadline: March 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 68 opinions
Resolution rules
The CEO of Kalshi has publicly stated that he wants 'more guardrails' for the industry. Pressure is growing in Washington and across states for federal regulation, while state lawsuits multiply against Kalshi and Polymarket.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na publicação no Diário Oficial dos EUA (Federal Register) ou sanção presidencial de lei federal que estabeleça regras específicas para mercados de previsão. Omissão legislativa até 2027-03-20 = Não.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 90% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 10 points, a wrong one costs about 90.