Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the weekly trading volume between Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $25 billion by 10/31/2026?
Consider the recent growth of the prediction markets sector, which reached $19.46 billion in the last week of September. 74 opinions, 59% No
- Yes — 41%
- No — 59%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the recent growth of the prediction markets sector, which reached $19.46 billion in the last week of September.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 01/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume transacionado semanal conjunto de Kalshi e Polymarket superar US$ 25 bilhões em qualquer relatório consolidado ou dashboard setorial até 31/10/2026, com dados da Dune Analytics, DeFiLlama ou relatórios Cheryle Shepstone. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.