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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the UK FCA publish formal guidelines for operating prediction markets by 11/30/2026?

The UK financial regulator has opened dialogue with platforms following pressure regarding the binary options rule. 79 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

The UK financial regulator has opened dialogue with platforms following pressure regarding the binary options rule.

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 11/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) publicar documento de consulta ou regulação sobre mercados de eventos e previsão até 30/11/2026, disponível no site oficial fca.org.uk. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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