Science · Open for opinions
Will a G3 or higher solar storm cause an officially confirmed disruption to GPS or communication satellite systems by February 2027?
Researchers from NASA and the University of Michigan study solar storms and the impact of solar wind on satellites, communications,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Researchers from NASA and the University of Michigan study solar storms and the impact of solar wind on satellites, communications, and navigation. The current solar cycle (Cycle 25) is in its solar maximum phase, increasing the likelihood of intense events.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se a NOAA (Space Weather Prediction Center) registrar evento G3+ e emitir alerta oficial de interrupção confirmada em sistemas GPS ou comunicação via satélite. Fonte: swpc.noaa.gov. Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.