Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 83% of GDP by December 2026?
In June 2026, Brazil's gross public debt reached 81.9% of GDP, according to the Central Bank. 23 opinions, 57% Yes
- Yes — 57%
- No — 43%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
In June 2026, Brazil's gross public debt reached 81.9% of GDP, according to the Central Bank. The upward trajectory worries economists and rating agencies, which closely monitor the pace of growth of the country's indebtedness.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o relatório oficial do Banco Central do Brasil ou do Tesouro Nacional referente a novembro ou dezembro de 2026 registrar dívida pública bruta igual ou superior a 83% do PIB. Fonte: bcb.gov.br ou tesouro.fazenda.gov.br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.