Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. federal regulatory agency initiate formal action against Polymarket for suspected insider trading by January 2027?
Research by Professor Joshua Mitts (Columbia Law School) identified more than 210,000 suspicious bets on Polymarket between February… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Research by Professor Joshua Mitts (Columbia Law School) identified more than 210,000 suspicious bets on Polymarket between February 2024 and February 2026, sparking debate about insider trading on these platforms and possible regulatory response.
Source: www.law.columbia.edu
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Anúncio público oficial da CFTC, SEC ou Departamento de Justiça dos EUA de investigação formal, processo administrativo ou ação judicial contra o Polymarket relacionada a negociação com informação privilegiada, divulgado nos respectivos sites institucionais até 31 de janeiro de 2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.