Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI or Anthropic formalize an external safety evaluation system by October 31, 2026?
Considers official statements between 09/18 and 10/31/2026 regarding the independent evaluation structure of AI giants. 43 opinions, 53% No
- Yes — 47%
- No — 53%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 43 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers official statements between 09/18 and 10/31/2026 regarding the independent evaluation structure of AI giants.
Source: techcrunch.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 18/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a OpenAI ou a Anthropic formalizarem a implementação de avaliadores independentes de segurança até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado nos sites oficiais openai.com, anthropic.com ou apuração de Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.