Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Brazilian federal government's primary deficit in 2026 exceed R$ 70 billion?
President Lula downplayed the size of the hole in public accounts. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
President Lula downplayed the size of the hole in public accounts. The debate over compliance with the fiscal framework and the size of the 2026 primary deficit is in the spotlight in the Brazilian economic scenario.
Source: www.poder360.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolver com base no resultado primário do governo central (Tesouro Nacional + Banco Central + INSS) referente ao acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026, divulgado pelo Tesouro Nacional no Relatório de Resultado do Tesouro Nacional. Se o déficit primário acumulado no ano for superior a R$ 70 bilhões, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.