Politics · Open for opinions
Will the monthly volume of the Politics/Government category on Polymarket exceed US$800 million in October 2026, driven by the US midterms?
Election prediction markets are seeing astronomical growth ahead of the 2026 midterms, as highlighted by Fortune's Instagram. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Election prediction markets are seeing astronomical growth ahead of the 2026 midterms, as highlighted by Fortune's Instagram. In June 2026, the category had already reached US$667.3M on Polymarket.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nos dados mensais de outubro de 2026 da tabela de volume por categoria do Polymarket publicada pelo DeFi Rate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/polymarket). Se Politics/Gov registrar volume ≥ US$800M, resolve Sim; caso contrário, Não.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.