Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut the US benchmark interest rate at least once by the December 2026 meeting?
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh attends the Jackson Hole symposium without a clear stance on inflation and interest rate cuts, according to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh attends the Jackson Hole symposium without a clear stance on inflation and interest rate cuts, according to the WSJ on 08/27/2026. The PCE remained elevated in July 2026.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução positiva se o FOMC anunciar redução da federal funds rate em qualquer reunião até e incluindo a de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.