Finance · Open for opinions
Will the global monthly trading volume in prediction markets exceed $30 billion before November 2026?
On August 17, 2026, Yahoo Finance reported that prediction markets reached $24 billion in monthly trading volume, marking a new… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
On August 17, 2026, Yahoo Finance reported that prediction markets reached $24 billion in monthly trading volume, marking a new all-time high for the sector.
Source: finance.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em publicação de veículo financeiro de referência (ex: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg) ou relatório oficial de Kalshi ou Polymarket confirmando volume mensal superior a US$ 30 bilhões em qualquer mês até outubro de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.