Technology · Open for opinions
Will any of the major AI companies (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind or Meta AI) announce a voluntary pause in frontier model training by December 2026?
Big tech leaders, including those from SpaceX/xAI and OpenAI, have mobilized around the risks of AI and the need for deceleration,… 31 opinions, 90% No
- Yes — 10%
- No — 90%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 31 opinions
Resolution rules
Big tech leaders, including those from SpaceX/xAI and OpenAI, have mobilized around the risks of AI and the need for deceleration, while the CEO of Anthropic classified the risk as real and immediate.
Source: www.broadcast.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Anúncio público oficial de pelo menos uma das empresas listadas (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind ou Meta AI) declarando pausa voluntária e explícita no desenvolvimento ou treinamento de modelos de IA de fronteira, verificável em comunicado oficial da empresa até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 90% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 10 points, a wrong one costs about 90.