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Politics · Open for opinions

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the November 2026 midterm elections?

The 2026 midterm elections are driving record trading volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, according to Fortune… 24 opinions, 42% Republicans

  • Republicans — 42%
  • Democrats — 29%
  • Tie (50-50) — 29%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 24 opinions

Resolution rules

The 2026 midterm elections are driving record trading volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, according to Fortune and OC Register (09/08/2026).

Source: www.ocregister.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na composição oficial do Senado dos EUA após a certificação dos resultados das eleições de meio de mandato de 2026, conforme divulgado pelo Clerk of the U.S. Senate (senate.gov). Considera-se o partido com maioria de cadeiras como vencedor.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Republicans has 42% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 58 points, a wrong one costs about 42.

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Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the November 2026… — 42% Republicans · VoxFi