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Science · Open for opinions

Will the discovery of the thermal anomaly in Mars' interior, announced by Caltech in August 2026, be published in a high-impact scientific journal (Nature, Science, or equivalent) by November 2026?

Caltech scientists announced on 08/30/2026 the discovery of a large heat anomaly in Mars' interior, with the south potentially… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Caltech scientists announced on 08/30/2026 the discovery of a large heat anomaly in Mars' interior, with the south potentially hundreds of degrees hotter than the north and partially melted. Formal publication in a peer-reviewed journal is the next step for scientific validation.

Source: www.sciencedaily.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se um artigo científico peer-reviewed dos pesquisadores do Caltech sobre a assimetria térmica interior de Marte (interior sul potencialmente parcialmente derretido) for publicado nas revistas Nature, Science, Nature Geoscience, Nature Astronomy ou periódico equivalente de alto fator de impacto até 2026-11-30, verificável nas respectivas plataformas editoriais. Resolve 'Não' se o prazo expirar sem tal publicação.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the discovery of the thermal anomaly in Mars' interior,… — 50% Yes · VoxFi