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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Copom raise the Selic rate at the November 2026 meeting?

President Lula publicly criticized the autonomy of the Central Bank in October 2026, signaling tension between the Executive branch… 81 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

President Lula publicly criticized the autonomy of the Central Bank in October 2026, signaling tension between the Executive branch and monetary policy. The market is watching every Copom decision with heightened attention in this context.

Source: www.poder360.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na decisão oficial do Copom divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) após a reunião de novembro de 2026. Considera-se 'Sim' se a ata ou comunicado oficial registrar elevação da taxa Selic em relação ao nível vigente antes da reunião.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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