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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Polymarket surpass Kalshi in monthly trading volume in November 2026?

Polymarket and Kalshi are described as the world's two leading prediction market platforms in terms of volume. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Polymarket and Kalshi are described as the world's two leading prediction market platforms in terms of volume. The competition between them is closely followed by specialized media.

Source: milehighsports.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se dados públicos, relatórios setoriais ou cobertura jornalística confiável referentes a novembro de 2026 indicarem que o Polymarket registrou volume mensal de negociação superior ao do Kalshi naquele mês. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário ou na ausência de dado verificável até 2026-12-10.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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