Technology · Open for opinions
Will the average rental price of the Nvidia H200 chip (GPU) be above US$5 per hour by the end of December 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket have launched event contracts on the rental price of the Nvidia H200 chip, used to run AI models, seeking to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket have launched event contracts on the rental price of the Nvidia H200 chip, used to run AI models, seeking to capture the growing interest in AI compute markets. As of August 2026, volume was still modest, but the segment is expanding.
Source: www.advisorperspectives.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada no preço médio de aluguel do Nvidia H200 divulgado por plataformas de computação em nuvem e índices de mercado de GPU (como sfcompute.com ou similar) referente ao mês de dezembro de 2026. Se o preço médio listado publicamente for acima de US$ 5/hora, resolve Sim; caso contrário, Não.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.