Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest total trading volume in 2026?
August 2026 data indicates Polymarket leading with ~47% volume share versus ~34% for Kalshi, but the Kalshi-Alpaca… 21 opinions, 33% Polymarket
- Polymarket — 33%
- Kalshi — 33%
- Other platform — 33%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
August 2026 data indicates Polymarket leading with ~47% volume share versus ~34% for Kalshi, but the Kalshi-Alpaca partnership could alter this balance by the end of the year.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em relatório público, anúncio oficial ou análise amplamente citada pela mídia especializada (ex: Bloomberg, Reuters) que compare o volume total negociado em 2026 pelas principais plataformas. Se nenhum dado oficial for publicado até a data de fechamento, o mercado é anulado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.