Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket exceed US$36 billion in 2026?
A September 2026 report indicates that trading volume on prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket could surpass US$36… 30 opinions, 57% Yes
- Yes — 57%
- No — 43%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 30 opinions
Resolution rules
A September 2026 report indicates that trading volume on prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket could surpass US$36 billion for the year, driven by the NFL season and other events.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se relatórios oficiais ou dados públicos de volume das plataformas Kalshi e/ou Polymarket confirmarem volume agregado superior a US$ 36 bilhões ao longo de 2026. Fonte: relatórios públicos das plataformas ou cobertura jornalística verificável (ex.: Bloomberg, Reuters).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.