Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the US Senate pass the Clarity Act cloture vote by October 31, 2026?
The Senate cloture vote is the next critical step for the Clarity Act. 32 opinions, 53% No
- Yes — 47%
- No — 53%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 32 opinions
Resolution rules
The Senate cloture vote is the next critical step for the Clarity Act. Kalshi recorded 53% odds that the bill becomes law before October 2027, with strong recent upward movement driven by Trump's approval of new ethics clauses.
Source: tradersunion.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Senado dos EUA realizar e aprovar a votação de clotura (procedimento que encerra debate e exige 60 votos) relativa ao Clarity Act até 31 de outubro de 2026, conforme registros oficiais do Senado (senate.gov). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.