World · Open for opinions
Will US consumer inflation (CPI) exceed 4% annually in any month through December 2026?
Economists warn that the surge in energy prices resulting from the conflict with Iran could spread through the US economy and… 23 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists warn that the surge in energy prices resulting from the conflict with Iran could spread through the US economy and persistently raise inflation, even after the conflict ends.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o índice CPI (Consumer Price Index) dos EUA, divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS, bls.gov), registrar variação anual (12 meses) igual ou superior a 4,0% em qualquer um dos relatórios mensais referentes ao período de setembro a novembro de 2026 (divulgados até dezembro de 2026). Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.