Finance · Open for opinions
Will the cumulative volume of political contracts on Kalshi exceed $2 billion by October 31, 2026?
Consider the accumulated financial volume in political events recorded between 10/08/2026 and 10/31/2026. 79 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the accumulated financial volume in political events recorded between 10/08/2026 and 10/31/2026.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume acumulado em negociações de mercados preditivos políticos na plataforma Kalshi atingir ou superar US$ 2,0 bilhões até 31/10/2026, conforme dados oficiais de painel ou comunicados divulgados em kalshi.com ou relatórios da CFTC. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.