Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in the US in 2026?
Data from Polymarket and Kalshi indicated a 95% probability of enactment in 2026. 38 opinions, 89% Yes
- Yes — 89%
- No — 11%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Data from Polymarket and Kalshi indicated a 95% probability of enactment in 2026. The bill regulates prediction markets in the US, being closely monitored by the financial sector and platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Presidente dos EUA assinar a Clarity Act (H.R.3633) e a lei for publicada no Federal Register até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Fonte: Congress.gov ou comunicado oficial da Casa Branca.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 89% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 11 points, a wrong one costs about 89.